{
  "schema_version": "jp-election-municipality-proportional-swing-graph.v1",
  "dataset_id": "jp-election-db.derived-shape.graph",
  "family": "graph",
  "dataset": "municipality-proportional-swing-2025-2026",
  "source_release_version": "2026-05-03-v050",
  "selector": {
    "prefecture_code": "44",
    "prefecture_name": "大分県",
    "prefecture_name_en": "Oita",
    "party_id": "CDR_TJU",
    "party_label": "中道+ゆうこく（2025=公明+立憲）",
    "party_label_en": "Centrist + Yukoku bloc (2025=Komeito+CDP)",
    "scope": "prefecture",
    "ranking_id": "",
    "ranking_label": "",
    "ranking_label_en": ""
  },
  "comparison": {
    "comparison_key": "20250720_hc_pr__20260208_hr_block",
    "baseline_election_set_key": "20250720_hc",
    "baseline_election_date": "2025-07-20",
    "baseline_vote_system": "pr",
    "target_election_set_key": "20260208_hr",
    "target_election_date": "2026-02-08",
    "target_vote_system": "block"
  },
  "metric": {
    "primary_metric_id": "votes_change_rate_pct",
    "primary_metric_label": "票数増減率",
    "secondary_metric_id": "votes_delta",
    "secondary_metric_label": "票数差"
  },
  "summary": {
    "point_grain": "municipality",
    "point_count": 18,
    "municipality_count": 18,
    "min_votes_change_rate_pct": -27.079126,
    "max_votes_change_rate_pct": -10.573787
  },
  "municipalities": [
    {
      "prefecture_code": "44",
      "prefecture_name": "大分県",
      "prefecture_name_en": "Oita",
      "jis_code": "442127",
      "municipality_name": "豊後大野市",
      "municipality_name_en": "Bungoono-shi",
      "baseline_votes": 4899.011,
      "target_votes": 4381.0,
      "votes_delta": -518.011,
      "votes_change_rate_pct": -10.573787,
      "baseline_vote_share_pct_muni": 30.647551,
      "target_vote_share_pct_muni": 26.95005,
      "vote_share_delta_pct_pt": -3.697501
    },
    {
      "prefecture_code": "44",
      "prefecture_name": "大分県",
      "prefecture_name_en": "Oita",
      "jis_code": "442062",
      "municipality_name": "臼杵市",
      "municipality_name_en": "Usuki-shi",
      "baseline_votes": 5312.706,
      "target_votes": 4740.0,
      "votes_delta": -572.706,
      "votes_change_rate_pct": -10.77993,
      "baseline_vote_share_pct_muni": 30.366997,
      "target_vote_share_pct_muni": 27.016244,
      "vote_share_delta_pct_pt": -3.350753
    },
    {
      "prefecture_code": "44",
      "prefecture_name": "大分県",
      "prefecture_name_en": "Oita",
      "jis_code": "442135",
      "municipality_name": "由布市",
      "municipality_name_en": "Yufu-shi",
      "baseline_votes": 4622.897,
      "target_votes": 4026.0,
      "votes_delta": -596.897,
      "votes_change_rate_pct": -12.911752,
      "baseline_vote_share_pct_muni": 28.713646,
      "target_vote_share_pct_muni": 25.806038,
      "vote_share_delta_pct_pt": -2.907608
    },
    {
      "prefecture_code": "44",
      "prefecture_name": "大分県",
      "prefecture_name_en": "Oita",
      "jis_code": "442119",
      "municipality_name": "宇佐市",
      "municipality_name_en": "Usa-shi",
      "baseline_votes": 7025.483,
      "target_votes": 6090.0,
      "votes_delta": -935.483,
      "votes_change_rate_pct": -13.315568,
      "baseline_vote_share_pct_muni": 27.660471,
      "target_vote_share_pct_muni": 23.740839,
      "vote_share_delta_pct_pt": -3.919632
    },
    {
      "prefecture_code": "44",
      "prefecture_name": "大分県",
      "prefecture_name_en": "Oita",
      "jis_code": "442046",
      "municipality_name": "日田市",
      "municipality_name_en": "Hita-shi",
      "baseline_votes": 8270.929,
      "target_votes": 7022.0,
      "votes_delta": -1248.929,
      "votes_change_rate_pct": -15.100226,
      "baseline_vote_share_pct_muni": 26.661495,
      "target_vote_share_pct_muni": 23.240882,
      "vote_share_delta_pct_pt": -3.420613
    },
    {
      "prefecture_code": "44",
      "prefecture_name": "大分県",
      "prefecture_name_en": "Oita",
      "jis_code": "442038",
      "municipality_name": "中津市",
      "municipality_name_en": "Nakatsu-shi",
      "baseline_votes": 10062.553,
      "target_votes": 8536.0,
      "votes_delta": -1526.553,
      "votes_change_rate_pct": -15.170633,
      "baseline_vote_share_pct_muni": 26.14465,
      "target_vote_share_pct_muni": 22.414201,
      "vote_share_delta_pct_pt": -3.730449
    },
    {
      "prefecture_code": "44",
      "prefecture_name": "大分県",
      "prefecture_name_en": "Oita",
      "jis_code": "442097",
      "municipality_name": "豊後高田市",
      "municipality_name_en": "Bungotakada-shi",
      "baseline_votes": 3094.553,
      "target_votes": 2622.0,
      "votes_delta": -472.553,
      "votes_change_rate_pct": -15.270477,
      "baseline_vote_share_pct_muni": 28.977929,
      "target_vote_share_pct_muni": 24.520715,
      "vote_share_delta_pct_pt": -4.457214
    },
    {
      "prefecture_code": "44",
      "prefecture_name": "大分県",
      "prefecture_name_en": "Oita",
      "jis_code": "442054",
      "municipality_name": "佐伯市",
      "municipality_name_en": "Saiki-shi",
      "baseline_votes": 9382.458,
      "target_votes": 7912.0,
      "votes_delta": -1470.458,
      "votes_change_rate_pct": -15.672418,
      "baseline_vote_share_pct_muni": 30.240631,
      "target_vote_share_pct_muni": 25.274725,
      "vote_share_delta_pct_pt": -4.965906
    },
    {
      "prefecture_code": "44",
      "prefecture_name": "大分県",
      "prefecture_name_en": "Oita",
      "jis_code": "443417",
      "municipality_name": "日出町",
      "municipality_name_en": "Hiji-machi",
      "baseline_votes": 3900.697,
      "target_votes": 3284.0,
      "votes_delta": -616.697,
      "votes_change_rate_pct": -15.809918,
      "baseline_vote_share_pct_muni": 27.957977,
      "target_vote_share_pct_muni": 23.302348,
      "vote_share_delta_pct_pt": -4.655629
    },
    {
      "prefecture_code": "44",
      "prefecture_name": "大分県",
      "prefecture_name_en": "Oita",
      "jis_code": "442089",
      "municipality_name": "竹田市",
      "municipality_name_en": "Taketa-shi",
      "baseline_votes": 3059.97,
      "target_votes": 2575.0,
      "votes_delta": -484.97,
      "votes_change_rate_pct": -15.848848,
      "baseline_vote_share_pct_muni": 30.936912,
      "target_vote_share_pct_muni": 26.203317,
      "vote_share_delta_pct_pt": -4.733595
    },
    {
      "prefecture_code": "44",
      "prefecture_name": "大分県",
      "prefecture_name_en": "Oita",
      "jis_code": "444626",
      "municipality_name": "玖珠町",
      "municipality_name_en": "Kusu-machi",
      "baseline_votes": 2373.802,
      "target_votes": 1991.0,
      "votes_delta": -382.802,
      "votes_change_rate_pct": -16.126113,
      "baseline_vote_share_pct_muni": 34.096553,
      "target_vote_share_pct_muni": 29.069937,
      "vote_share_delta_pct_pt": -5.026616
    },
    {
      "prefecture_code": "44",
      "prefecture_name": "大分県",
      "prefecture_name_en": "Oita",
      "jis_code": "444618",
      "municipality_name": "九重町",
      "municipality_name_en": "Kokonoe-machi",
      "baseline_votes": 1374.767,
      "target_votes": 1139.0,
      "votes_delta": -235.767,
      "votes_change_rate_pct": -17.149597,
      "baseline_vote_share_pct_muni": 32.538864,
      "target_vote_share_pct_muni": 26.926714,
      "vote_share_delta_pct_pt": -5.61215
    },
    {
      "prefecture_code": "44",
      "prefecture_name": "大分県",
      "prefecture_name_en": "Oita",
      "jis_code": "442143",
      "municipality_name": "国東市",
      "municipality_name_en": "Kunisaki-shi",
      "baseline_votes": 4078.249,
      "target_votes": 3372.0,
      "votes_delta": -706.249,
      "votes_change_rate_pct": -17.317457,
      "baseline_vote_share_pct_muni": 31.286912,
      "target_vote_share_pct_muni": 25.520321,
      "vote_share_delta_pct_pt": -5.766591
    },
    {
      "prefecture_code": "44",
      "prefecture_name": "大分県",
      "prefecture_name_en": "Oita",
      "jis_code": "442020",
      "municipality_name": "別府市",
      "municipality_name_en": "Beppu-shi",
      "baseline_votes": 15365.298,
      "target_votes": 12666.0,
      "votes_delta": -2699.298,
      "votes_change_rate_pct": -17.567495,
      "baseline_vote_share_pct_muni": 28.620146,
      "target_vote_share_pct_muni": 24.27646,
      "vote_share_delta_pct_pt": -4.343686
    },
    {
      "prefecture_code": "44",
      "prefecture_name": "大分県",
      "prefecture_name_en": "Oita",
      "jis_code": "442100",
      "municipality_name": "杵築市",
      "municipality_name_en": "Kitsuki-shi",
      "baseline_votes": 3854.487,
      "target_votes": 3140.0,
      "votes_delta": -714.487,
      "votes_change_rate_pct": -18.5365,
      "baseline_vote_share_pct_muni": 29.262731,
      "target_vote_share_pct_muni": 24.048403,
      "vote_share_delta_pct_pt": -5.214328
    },
    {
      "prefecture_code": "44",
      "prefecture_name": "大分県",
      "prefecture_name_en": "Oita",
      "jis_code": "442070",
      "municipality_name": "津久見市",
      "municipality_name_en": "Tsukumi-shi",
      "baseline_votes": 2713.074,
      "target_votes": 2021.0,
      "votes_delta": -692.074,
      "votes_change_rate_pct": -25.508851,
      "baseline_vote_share_pct_muni": 33.985645,
      "target_vote_share_pct_muni": 25.896976,
      "vote_share_delta_pct_pt": -8.088669
    },
    {
      "prefecture_code": "44",
      "prefecture_name": "大分県",
      "prefecture_name_en": "Oita",
      "jis_code": "442011",
      "municipality_name": "大分市第2",
      "municipality_name_en": "Oita-shi",
      "baseline_votes": 59313.834,
      "target_votes": 43307.0,
      "votes_delta": -16006.834,
      "votes_change_rate_pct": -26.986679,
      "baseline_vote_share_pct_muni": 27.10746,
      "target_vote_share_pct_muni": 20.428986,
      "vote_share_delta_pct_pt": -6.678474
    },
    {
      "prefecture_code": "44",
      "prefecture_name": "大分県",
      "prefecture_name_en": "Oita",
      "jis_code": "443220",
      "municipality_name": "姫島村",
      "municipality_name_en": "Himeshima-mura",
      "baseline_votes": 368.893,
      "target_votes": 269.0,
      "votes_delta": -99.893,
      "votes_change_rate_pct": -27.079126,
      "baseline_vote_share_pct_muni": 30.613527,
      "target_vote_share_pct_muni": 22.700422,
      "vote_share_delta_pct_pt": -7.913105
    }
  ]
}