{
  "schema_version": "jp-election-municipality-proportional-swing-graph.v1",
  "dataset_id": "jp-election-db.derived-shape.graph",
  "family": "graph",
  "dataset": "municipality-proportional-swing-2025-2026",
  "source_release_version": "2026-05-03-v050",
  "selector": {
    "prefecture_code": "36",
    "prefecture_name": "徳島県",
    "prefecture_name_en": "Tokushima",
    "party_id": "JHP",
    "party_label": "保守",
    "party_label_en": "Japan Conservative Party",
    "scope": "prefecture",
    "ranking_id": "",
    "ranking_label": "",
    "ranking_label_en": ""
  },
  "comparison": {
    "comparison_key": "20250720_hc_pr__20260208_hr_block",
    "baseline_election_set_key": "20250720_hc",
    "baseline_election_date": "2025-07-20",
    "baseline_vote_system": "pr",
    "target_election_set_key": "20260208_hr",
    "target_election_date": "2026-02-08",
    "target_vote_system": "block"
  },
  "metric": {
    "primary_metric_id": "votes_change_rate_pct",
    "primary_metric_label": "票数増減率",
    "secondary_metric_id": "votes_delta",
    "secondary_metric_label": "票数差"
  },
  "summary": {
    "point_grain": "municipality",
    "point_count": 24,
    "municipality_count": 24,
    "min_votes_change_rate_pct": -48.780488,
    "max_votes_change_rate_pct": -4.166667
  },
  "municipalities": [
    {
      "prefecture_code": "36",
      "prefecture_name": "徳島県",
      "prefecture_name_en": "Tokushima",
      "jis_code": "363014",
      "municipality_name": "勝浦町",
      "municipality_name_en": "Katsuura-cho",
      "baseline_votes": 48.0,
      "target_votes": 46.0,
      "votes_delta": -2.0,
      "votes_change_rate_pct": -4.166667,
      "baseline_vote_share_pct_muni": 2.270577,
      "target_vote_share_pct_muni": 2.001741,
      "vote_share_delta_pct_pt": -0.268836
    },
    {
      "prefecture_code": "36",
      "prefecture_name": "徳島県",
      "prefecture_name_en": "Tokushima",
      "jis_code": "363880",
      "municipality_name": "海陽町",
      "municipality_name_en": "Kaiyo-cho",
      "baseline_votes": 101.0,
      "target_votes": 76.0,
      "votes_delta": -25.0,
      "votes_change_rate_pct": -24.752475,
      "baseline_vote_share_pct_muni": 2.609145,
      "target_vote_share_pct_muni": 1.774872,
      "vote_share_delta_pct_pt": -0.834273
    },
    {
      "prefecture_code": "36",
      "prefecture_name": "徳島県",
      "prefecture_name_en": "Tokushima",
      "jis_code": "364010",
      "municipality_name": "松茂町",
      "municipality_name_en": "Matsushige-cho",
      "baseline_votes": 313.0,
      "target_votes": 223.0,
      "votes_delta": -90.0,
      "votes_change_rate_pct": -28.753994,
      "baseline_vote_share_pct_muni": 5.401208,
      "target_vote_share_pct_muni": 3.504636,
      "vote_share_delta_pct_pt": -1.896572
    },
    {
      "prefecture_code": "36",
      "prefecture_name": "徳島県",
      "prefecture_name_en": "Tokushima",
      "jis_code": "364045",
      "municipality_name": "板野町",
      "municipality_name_en": "Itano-cho",
      "baseline_votes": 257.0,
      "target_votes": 183.0,
      "votes_delta": -74.0,
      "votes_change_rate_pct": -28.793774,
      "baseline_vote_share_pct_muni": 5.125648,
      "target_vote_share_pct_muni": 3.277808,
      "vote_share_delta_pct_pt": -1.84784
    },
    {
      "prefecture_code": "36",
      "prefecture_name": "徳島県",
      "prefecture_name_en": "Tokushima",
      "jis_code": "362077",
      "municipality_name": "美馬市",
      "municipality_name_en": "Mima-shi",
      "baseline_votes": 395.0,
      "target_votes": 273.0,
      "votes_delta": -122.0,
      "votes_change_rate_pct": -30.886076,
      "baseline_vote_share_pct_muni": 3.48079,
      "target_vote_share_pct_muni": 2.200193,
      "vote_share_delta_pct_pt": -1.280597
    },
    {
      "prefecture_code": "36",
      "prefecture_name": "徳島県",
      "prefecture_name_en": "Tokushima",
      "jis_code": "363839",
      "municipality_name": "牟岐町",
      "municipality_name_en": "Mugi-cho",
      "baseline_votes": 48.0,
      "target_votes": 33.0,
      "votes_delta": -15.0,
      "votes_change_rate_pct": -31.25,
      "baseline_vote_share_pct_muni": 2.710333,
      "target_vote_share_pct_muni": 1.813187,
      "vote_share_delta_pct_pt": -0.897146
    },
    {
      "prefecture_code": "36",
      "prefecture_name": "徳島県",
      "prefecture_name_en": "Tokushima",
      "jis_code": "363219",
      "municipality_name": "佐那河内村",
      "municipality_name_en": "Sanagouchi-son",
      "baseline_votes": 38.0,
      "target_votes": 26.0,
      "votes_delta": -12.0,
      "votes_change_rate_pct": -31.578947,
      "baseline_vote_share_pct_muni": 3.448276,
      "target_vote_share_pct_muni": 2.20339,
      "vote_share_delta_pct_pt": -1.244886
    },
    {
      "prefecture_code": "36",
      "prefecture_name": "徳島県",
      "prefecture_name_en": "Tokushima",
      "jis_code": "362085",
      "municipality_name": "三好市",
      "municipality_name_en": "Miyoshi-shi",
      "baseline_votes": 342.0,
      "target_votes": 234.0,
      "votes_delta": -108.0,
      "votes_change_rate_pct": -31.578947,
      "baseline_vote_share_pct_muni": 2.918587,
      "target_vote_share_pct_muni": 2.018634,
      "vote_share_delta_pct_pt": -0.899953
    },
    {
      "prefecture_code": "36",
      "prefecture_name": "徳島県",
      "prefecture_name_en": "Tokushima",
      "jis_code": "363871",
      "municipality_name": "美波町",
      "municipality_name_en": "Minami-cho",
      "baseline_votes": 89.0,
      "target_votes": 59.0,
      "votes_delta": -30.0,
      "votes_change_rate_pct": -33.707865,
      "baseline_vote_share_pct_muni": 3.183119,
      "target_vote_share_pct_muni": 1.957532,
      "vote_share_delta_pct_pt": -1.225587
    },
    {
      "prefecture_code": "36",
      "prefecture_name": "徳島県",
      "prefecture_name_en": "Tokushima",
      "jis_code": "364894",
      "municipality_name": "東みよし町",
      "municipality_name_en": "Higashimiyoshi-cho",
      "baseline_votes": 171.0,
      "target_votes": 113.0,
      "votes_delta": -58.0,
      "votes_change_rate_pct": -33.918129,
      "baseline_vote_share_pct_muni": 2.825045,
      "target_vote_share_pct_muni": 1.720987,
      "vote_share_delta_pct_pt": -1.104058
    },
    {
      "prefecture_code": "36",
      "prefecture_name": "徳島県",
      "prefecture_name_en": "Tokushima",
      "jis_code": "363685",
      "municipality_name": "那賀町",
      "municipality_name_en": "Naka-cho",
      "baseline_votes": 66.0,
      "target_votes": 43.0,
      "votes_delta": -23.0,
      "votes_change_rate_pct": -34.848485,
      "baseline_vote_share_pct_muni": 1.892202,
      "target_vote_share_pct_muni": 1.134565,
      "vote_share_delta_pct_pt": -0.757637
    },
    {
      "prefecture_code": "36",
      "prefecture_name": "徳島県",
      "prefecture_name_en": "Tokushima",
      "jis_code": "363413",
      "municipality_name": "石井町",
      "municipality_name_en": "Ishii-cho",
      "baseline_votes": 492.0,
      "target_votes": 316.0,
      "votes_delta": -176.0,
      "votes_change_rate_pct": -35.772358,
      "baseline_vote_share_pct_muni": 4.906752,
      "target_vote_share_pct_muni": 2.855336,
      "vote_share_delta_pct_pt": -2.051416
    },
    {
      "prefecture_code": "36",
      "prefecture_name": "徳島県",
      "prefecture_name_en": "Tokushima",
      "jis_code": "363022",
      "municipality_name": "上勝町",
      "municipality_name_en": "Kamikatsu-cho",
      "baseline_votes": 24.0,
      "target_votes": 15.0,
      "votes_delta": -9.0,
      "votes_change_rate_pct": -37.5,
      "baseline_vote_share_pct_muni": 3.385049,
      "target_vote_share_pct_muni": 2.046385,
      "vote_share_delta_pct_pt": -1.338664
    },
    {
      "prefecture_code": "36",
      "prefecture_name": "徳島県",
      "prefecture_name_en": "Tokushima",
      "jis_code": "362034",
      "municipality_name": "小松島市",
      "municipality_name_en": "Komatsushima-shi",
      "baseline_votes": 712.0,
      "target_votes": 444.0,
      "votes_delta": -268.0,
      "votes_change_rate_pct": -37.640449,
      "baseline_vote_share_pct_muni": 4.881058,
      "target_vote_share_pct_muni": 2.77119,
      "vote_share_delta_pct_pt": -2.109868
    },
    {
      "prefecture_code": "36",
      "prefecture_name": "徳島県",
      "prefecture_name_en": "Tokushima",
      "jis_code": "362069",
      "municipality_name": "阿波市",
      "municipality_name_en": "Awa-shi",
      "baseline_votes": 637.0,
      "target_votes": 393.0,
      "votes_delta": -244.0,
      "votes_change_rate_pct": -38.304553,
      "baseline_vote_share_pct_muni": 4.645905,
      "target_vote_share_pct_muni": 2.563266,
      "vote_share_delta_pct_pt": -2.082639
    },
    {
      "prefecture_code": "36",
      "prefecture_name": "徳島県",
      "prefecture_name_en": "Tokushima",
      "jis_code": "362042",
      "municipality_name": "阿南市",
      "municipality_name_en": "Anan-shi",
      "baseline_votes": 1464.89,
      "target_votes": 894.0,
      "votes_delta": -570.89,
      "votes_change_rate_pct": -38.971527,
      "baseline_vote_share_pct_muni": 5.063567,
      "target_vote_share_pct_muni": 2.787739,
      "vote_share_delta_pct_pt": -2.275828
    },
    {
      "prefecture_code": "36",
      "prefecture_name": "徳島県",
      "prefecture_name_en": "Tokushima",
      "jis_code": "363421",
      "municipality_name": "神山町",
      "municipality_name_en": "Kamiyama-cho",
      "baseline_votes": 52.0,
      "target_votes": 31.0,
      "votes_delta": -21.0,
      "votes_change_rate_pct": -40.384615,
      "baseline_vote_share_pct_muni": 2.655771,
      "target_vote_share_pct_muni": 1.382078,
      "vote_share_delta_pct_pt": -1.273693
    },
    {
      "prefecture_code": "36",
      "prefecture_name": "徳島県",
      "prefecture_name_en": "Tokushima",
      "jis_code": "364053",
      "municipality_name": "上板町",
      "municipality_name_en": "Kamiita-cho",
      "baseline_votes": 202.0,
      "target_votes": 119.0,
      "votes_delta": -83.0,
      "votes_change_rate_pct": -41.089109,
      "baseline_vote_share_pct_muni": 4.660821,
      "target_vote_share_pct_muni": 2.439024,
      "vote_share_delta_pct_pt": -2.221797
    },
    {
      "prefecture_code": "36",
      "prefecture_name": "徳島県",
      "prefecture_name_en": "Tokushima",
      "jis_code": "362026",
      "municipality_name": "鳴門市",
      "municipality_name_en": "Naruto-shi",
      "baseline_votes": 1190.0,
      "target_votes": 697.0,
      "votes_delta": -493.0,
      "votes_change_rate_pct": -41.428571,
      "baseline_vote_share_pct_muni": 5.50722,
      "target_vote_share_pct_muni": 2.989492,
      "vote_share_delta_pct_pt": -2.517728
    },
    {
      "prefecture_code": "36",
      "prefecture_name": "徳島県",
      "prefecture_name_en": "Tokushima",
      "jis_code": "362018",
      "municipality_name": "徳島市",
      "municipality_name_en": "Tokushima-shi",
      "baseline_votes": 6072.0,
      "target_votes": 3498.0,
      "votes_delta": -2574.0,
      "votes_change_rate_pct": -42.391304,
      "baseline_vote_share_pct_muni": 6.1391,
      "target_vote_share_pct_muni": 3.333715,
      "vote_share_delta_pct_pt": -2.805385
    },
    {
      "prefecture_code": "36",
      "prefecture_name": "徳島県",
      "prefecture_name_en": "Tokushima",
      "jis_code": "364681",
      "municipality_name": "つるぎ町",
      "municipality_name_en": "Tsurugi-cho",
      "baseline_votes": 91.0,
      "target_votes": 52.0,
      "votes_delta": -39.0,
      "votes_change_rate_pct": -42.857143,
      "baseline_vote_share_pct_muni": 2.460124,
      "target_vote_share_pct_muni": 1.310814,
      "vote_share_delta_pct_pt": -1.14931
    },
    {
      "prefecture_code": "36",
      "prefecture_name": "徳島県",
      "prefecture_name_en": "Tokushima",
      "jis_code": "364029",
      "municipality_name": "北島町",
      "municipality_name_en": "Kitajima-cho",
      "baseline_votes": 561.0,
      "target_votes": 315.0,
      "votes_delta": -246.0,
      "votes_change_rate_pct": -43.850267,
      "baseline_vote_share_pct_muni": 5.757389,
      "target_vote_share_pct_muni": 2.977597,
      "vote_share_delta_pct_pt": -2.779792
    },
    {
      "prefecture_code": "36",
      "prefecture_name": "徳島県",
      "prefecture_name_en": "Tokushima",
      "jis_code": "362050",
      "municipality_name": "吉野川市",
      "municipality_name_en": "Yoshinogawa-shi",
      "baseline_votes": 675.0,
      "target_votes": 379.0,
      "votes_delta": -296.0,
      "votes_change_rate_pct": -43.851852,
      "baseline_vote_share_pct_muni": 4.344468,
      "target_vote_share_pct_muni": 2.159421,
      "vote_share_delta_pct_pt": -2.185047
    },
    {
      "prefecture_code": "36",
      "prefecture_name": "徳島県",
      "prefecture_name_en": "Tokushima",
      "jis_code": "364037",
      "municipality_name": "藍住町",
      "municipality_name_en": "Aizumi-cho",
      "baseline_votes": 820.0,
      "target_votes": 420.0,
      "votes_delta": -400.0,
      "votes_change_rate_pct": -48.780488,
      "baseline_vote_share_pct_muni": 5.849205,
      "target_vote_share_pct_muni": 2.815768,
      "vote_share_delta_pct_pt": -3.033437
    }
  ]
}
