{ "schema_version": "jp-election-municipality-proportional-swing-graph.v1", "dataset_id": "jp-election-db.derived-shape.graph", "family": "graph", "dataset": "municipality-proportional-swing-2025-2026", "source_release_version": "2026-05-03-v050", "selector": { "prefecture_code": "30", "prefecture_name": "和歌山県", "prefecture_name_en": "Wakayama", "party_id": "JHP", "party_label": "保守", "party_label_en": "Japan Conservative Party", "scope": "prefecture", "ranking_id": "", "ranking_label": "", "ranking_label_en": "" }, "comparison": { "comparison_key": "20250720_hc_pr__20260208_hr_block", "baseline_election_set_key": "20250720_hc", "baseline_election_date": "2025-07-20", "baseline_vote_system": "pr", "target_election_set_key": "20260208_hr", "target_election_date": "2026-02-08", "target_vote_system": "block" }, "metric": { "primary_metric_id": "votes_change_rate_pct", "primary_metric_label": "票数増減率", "secondary_metric_id": "votes_delta", "secondary_metric_label": "票数差" }, "summary": { "point_grain": "municipality", "point_count": 30, "municipality_count": 30, "min_votes_change_rate_pct": -58.333333, "max_votes_change_rate_pct": 150.0 }, "municipalities": [ { "prefecture_code": "30", "prefecture_name": "和歌山県", "prefecture_name_en": "Wakayama", "jis_code": "304271", "municipality_name": "北山村", "municipality_name_en": "Kitayama-mura", "baseline_votes": 2.0, "target_votes": 5.0, "votes_delta": 3.0, "votes_change_rate_pct": 150.0, "baseline_vote_share_pct_muni": 0.793651, "target_vote_share_pct_muni": 1.992032, "vote_share_delta_pct_pt": 1.198381 }, { "prefecture_code": "30", "prefecture_name": "和歌山県", "prefecture_name_en": "Wakayama", "jis_code": "303437", "municipality_name": "九度山町", "municipality_name_en": "Kudoyama-cho", "baseline_votes": 50.0, "target_votes": 36.0, "votes_delta": -14.0, "votes_change_rate_pct": -28.0, "baseline_vote_share_pct_muni": 2.371917, "target_vote_share_pct_muni": 1.827411, "vote_share_delta_pct_pt": -0.544506 }, { "prefecture_code": "30", "prefecture_name": "和歌山県", "prefecture_name_en": "Wakayama", "jis_code": "304247", "municipality_name": "古座川町", "municipality_name_en": "Kozagawa-cho", "baseline_votes": 29.0, "target_votes": 19.0, "votes_delta": -10.0, "votes_change_rate_pct": -34.482759, "baseline_vote_share_pct_muni": 2.095376, "target_vote_share_pct_muni": 1.358113, "vote_share_delta_pct_pt": -0.737263 }, { "prefecture_code": "30", "prefecture_name": "和歌山県", "prefecture_name_en": "Wakayama", "jis_code": "304220", "municipality_name": "太地町", "municipality_name_en": "Taiji-cho", "baseline_votes": 60.0, "target_votes": 39.0, "votes_delta": -21.0, "votes_change_rate_pct": -35.0, "baseline_vote_share_pct_muni": 3.474233, "target_vote_share_pct_muni": 2.479339, "vote_share_delta_pct_pt": -0.994894 }, { "prefecture_code": "30", "prefecture_name": "和歌山県", "prefecture_name_en": "Wakayama", "jis_code": "303925", "municipality_name": "日高川町", "municipality_name_en": "Hidakagawa-cho", "baseline_votes": 144.888, "target_votes": 94.0, "votes_delta": -50.888, "votes_change_rate_pct": -35.122301, "baseline_vote_share_pct_muni": 2.624307, "target_vote_share_pct_muni": 1.772247, "vote_share_delta_pct_pt": -0.85206 }, { "prefecture_code": "30", "prefecture_name": "和歌山県", "prefecture_name_en": "Wakayama", "jis_code": "303666", "municipality_name": "有田川町", "municipality_name_en": "Aridagawa-cho", "baseline_votes": 453.0, "target_votes": 291.0, "votes_delta": -162.0, "votes_change_rate_pct": -35.761589, "baseline_vote_share_pct_muni": 3.480065, "target_vote_share_pct_muni": 2.216805, "vote_share_delta_pct_pt": -1.26326 }, { "prefecture_code": "30", "prefecture_name": "和歌山県", "prefecture_name_en": "Wakayama", "jis_code": "303836", "municipality_name": "由良町", "municipality_name_en": "Yura-cho", "baseline_votes": 74.0, "target_votes": 45.0, "votes_delta": -29.0, "votes_change_rate_pct": -39.189189, "baseline_vote_share_pct_muni": 2.511028, "target_vote_share_pct_muni": 1.65077, "vote_share_delta_pct_pt": -0.860258 }, { "prefecture_code": "30", "prefecture_name": "和歌山県", "prefecture_name_en": "Wakayama", "jis_code": "304069", "municipality_name": "すさみ町", "municipality_name_en": "Susami-cho", "baseline_votes": 64.0, "target_votes": 38.0, "votes_delta": -26.0, "votes_change_rate_pct": -40.625, "baseline_vote_share_pct_muni": 3.075444, "target_vote_share_pct_muni": 1.855469, "vote_share_delta_pct_pt": -1.219975 }, { "prefecture_code": "30", "prefecture_name": "和歌山県", "prefecture_name_en": "Wakayama", "jis_code": "303909", "municipality_name": "印南町", "municipality_name_en": "Inami-cho", "baseline_votes": 116.0, "target_votes": 67.0, "votes_delta": -49.0, "votes_change_rate_pct": -42.241379, "baseline_vote_share_pct_muni": 2.521191, "target_vote_share_pct_muni": 1.602487, "vote_share_delta_pct_pt": -0.918704 }, { "prefecture_code": "30", "prefecture_name": "和歌山県", "prefecture_name_en": "Wakayama", "jis_code": "304212", "municipality_name": "那智勝浦町", "municipality_name_en": "Nachikatsuura-cho", "baseline_votes": 246.0, "target_votes": 142.0, "votes_delta": -104.0, "votes_change_rate_pct": -42.276423, "baseline_vote_share_pct_muni": 3.544669, "target_vote_share_pct_muni": 2.147935, "vote_share_delta_pct_pt": -1.396734 }, { "prefecture_code": "30", "prefecture_name": "和歌山県", "prefecture_name_en": "Wakayama", "jis_code": "303410", "municipality_name": "かつらぎ町", "municipality_name_en": "Katsuragi-cho", "baseline_votes": 254.0, "target_votes": 143.0, "votes_delta": -111.0, "votes_change_rate_pct": -43.700787, "baseline_vote_share_pct_muni": 3.17064, "target_vote_share_pct_muni": 1.945843, "vote_share_delta_pct_pt": -1.224797 }, { "prefecture_code": "30", "prefecture_name": "和歌山県", "prefecture_name_en": "Wakayama", "jis_code": "302058", "municipality_name": "御坊市", "municipality_name_en": "Gobo-shi", "baseline_votes": 404.0, "target_votes": 224.0, "votes_delta": -180.0, "votes_change_rate_pct": -44.554455, "baseline_vote_share_pct_muni": 3.578388, "target_vote_share_pct_muni": 2.256472, "vote_share_delta_pct_pt": -1.321916 }, { "prefecture_code": "30", "prefecture_name": "和歌山県", "prefecture_name_en": "Wakayama", "jis_code": "302066", "municipality_name": "田辺市", "municipality_name_en": "Tanabe-shi", "baseline_votes": 1321.0, "target_votes": 723.0, "votes_delta": -598.0, "votes_change_rate_pct": -45.268736, "baseline_vote_share_pct_muni": 4.100065, "target_vote_share_pct_muni": 2.385666, "vote_share_delta_pct_pt": -1.714399 }, { "prefecture_code": "30", "prefecture_name": "和歌山県", "prefecture_name_en": "Wakayama", "jis_code": "302074", "municipality_name": "新宮市", "municipality_name_en": "Shingu-shi", "baseline_votes": 499.0, "target_votes": 270.0, "votes_delta": -229.0, "votes_change_rate_pct": -45.891784, "baseline_vote_share_pct_muni": 3.77687, "target_vote_share_pct_muni": 2.143538, "vote_share_delta_pct_pt": -1.633332 }, { "prefecture_code": "30", "prefecture_name": "和歌山県", "prefecture_name_en": "Wakayama", "jis_code": "304280", "municipality_name": "串本町", "municipality_name_en": "Kushimoto-cho", "baseline_votes": 248.0, "target_votes": 133.0, "votes_delta": -115.0, "votes_change_rate_pct": -46.370968, "baseline_vote_share_pct_muni": 3.444444, "target_vote_share_pct_muni": 1.918915, "vote_share_delta_pct_pt": -1.525529 }, { "prefecture_code": "30", "prefecture_name": "和歌山県", "prefecture_name_en": "Wakayama", "jis_code": "303615", "municipality_name": "湯浅町", "municipality_name_en": "Yuasa-cho", "baseline_votes": 236.0, "target_votes": 125.0, "votes_delta": -111.0, "votes_change_rate_pct": -47.033898, "baseline_vote_share_pct_muni": 3.908579, "target_vote_share_pct_muni": 2.244568, "vote_share_delta_pct_pt": -1.664011 }, { "prefecture_code": "30", "prefecture_name": "和歌山県", "prefecture_name_en": "Wakayama", "jis_code": "304018", "municipality_name": "白浜町", "municipality_name_en": "Shirahama-cho", "baseline_votes": 339.0, "target_votes": 175.0, "votes_delta": -164.0, "votes_change_rate_pct": -48.377581, "baseline_vote_share_pct_muni": 3.741722, "target_vote_share_pct_muni": 2.019852, "vote_share_delta_pct_pt": -1.72187 }, { "prefecture_code": "30", "prefecture_name": "和歌山県", "prefecture_name_en": "Wakayama", "jis_code": "302023", "municipality_name": "海南市", "municipality_name_en": "Kainan-shi", "baseline_votes": 822.0, "target_votes": 423.0, "votes_delta": -399.0, "votes_change_rate_pct": -48.540146, "baseline_vote_share_pct_muni": 3.528957, "target_vote_share_pct_muni": 1.961148, "vote_share_delta_pct_pt": -1.567809 }, { "prefecture_code": "30", "prefecture_name": "和歌山県", "prefecture_name_en": "Wakayama", "jis_code": "304042", "municipality_name": "上富田町", "municipality_name_en": "Kamitonda-cho", "baseline_votes": 284.0, "target_votes": 144.0, "votes_delta": -140.0, "votes_change_rate_pct": -49.295775, "baseline_vote_share_pct_muni": 3.753635, "target_vote_share_pct_muni": 2.088167, "vote_share_delta_pct_pt": -1.665468 }, { "prefecture_code": "30", "prefecture_name": "和歌山県", "prefecture_name_en": "Wakayama", "jis_code": "302040", "municipality_name": "有田市", "municipality_name_en": "Arida-shi", "baseline_votes": 450.0, "target_votes": 223.0, "votes_delta": -227.0, "votes_change_rate_pct": -50.444444, "baseline_vote_share_pct_muni": 3.389575, "target_vote_share_pct_muni": 1.911702, "vote_share_delta_pct_pt": -1.477873 }, { "prefecture_code": "30", "prefecture_name": "和歌山県", "prefecture_name_en": "Wakayama", "jis_code": "303046", "municipality_name": "紀美野町", "municipality_name_en": "Kimino-cho", "baseline_votes": 134.0, "target_votes": 66.0, "votes_delta": -68.0, "votes_change_rate_pct": -50.746269, "baseline_vote_share_pct_muni": 3.075511, "target_vote_share_pct_muni": 1.606621, "vote_share_delta_pct_pt": -1.46889 }, { "prefecture_code": "30", "prefecture_name": "和歌山県", "prefecture_name_en": "Wakayama", "jis_code": "302082", "municipality_name": "紀の川市", "municipality_name_en": "Kinokawa-shi", "baseline_votes": 1027.0, "target_votes": 503.0, "votes_delta": -524.0, "votes_change_rate_pct": -51.022395, "baseline_vote_share_pct_muni": 3.68748, "target_vote_share_pct_muni": 1.833558, "vote_share_delta_pct_pt": -1.853922 }, { "prefecture_code": "30", "prefecture_name": "和歌山県", "prefecture_name_en": "Wakayama", "jis_code": "302090", "municipality_name": "岩出市", "municipality_name_en": "Iwade-shi", "baseline_votes": 1117.0, "target_votes": 545.0, "votes_delta": -572.0, "votes_change_rate_pct": -51.208594, "baseline_vote_share_pct_muni": 4.696632, "target_vote_share_pct_muni": 2.421146, "vote_share_delta_pct_pt": -2.275486 }, { "prefecture_code": "30", "prefecture_name": "和歌山県", "prefecture_name_en": "Wakayama", "jis_code": "303810", "municipality_name": "美浜町", "municipality_name_en": "Mihama-cho", "baseline_votes": 130.0, "target_votes": 63.0, "votes_delta": -67.0, "votes_change_rate_pct": -51.538462, "baseline_vote_share_pct_muni": 3.49087, "target_vote_share_pct_muni": 1.79079, "vote_share_delta_pct_pt": -1.70008 }, { "prefecture_code": "30", "prefecture_name": "和歌山県", "prefecture_name_en": "Wakayama", "jis_code": "302015", "municipality_name": "和歌山市", "municipality_name_en": "Wakayama-shi", "baseline_votes": 7414.613, "target_votes": 3542.0, "votes_delta": -3872.613, "votes_change_rate_pct": -52.229469, "baseline_vote_share_pct_muni": 4.586321, "target_vote_share_pct_muni": 2.245353, "vote_share_delta_pct_pt": -2.340968 }, { "prefecture_code": "30", "prefecture_name": "和歌山県", "prefecture_name_en": "Wakayama", "jis_code": "303917", "municipality_name": "みなべ町", "municipality_name_en": "Minabe-cho", "baseline_votes": 251.0, "target_votes": 119.0, "votes_delta": -132.0, "votes_change_rate_pct": -52.589641, "baseline_vote_share_pct_muni": 4.051001, "target_vote_share_pct_muni": 2.019345, "vote_share_delta_pct_pt": -2.031656 }, { "prefecture_code": "30", "prefecture_name": "和歌山県", "prefecture_name_en": "Wakayama", "jis_code": "302031", "municipality_name": "橋本市", "municipality_name_en": "Hashimoto-shi", "baseline_votes": 1250.0, "target_votes": 557.0, "votes_delta": -693.0, "votes_change_rate_pct": -55.44, "baseline_vote_share_pct_muni": 4.358438, "target_vote_share_pct_muni": 2.193518, "vote_share_delta_pct_pt": -2.16492 }, { "prefecture_code": "30", "prefecture_name": "和歌山県", "prefecture_name_en": "Wakayama", "jis_code": "303623", "municipality_name": "広川町", "municipality_name_en": "Hirogawa-cho", "baseline_votes": 109.0, "target_votes": 48.0, "votes_delta": -61.0, "votes_change_rate_pct": -55.963303, "baseline_vote_share_pct_muni": 2.95874, "target_vote_share_pct_muni": 1.401051, "vote_share_delta_pct_pt": -1.557689 }, { "prefecture_code": "30", "prefecture_name": "和歌山県", "prefecture_name_en": "Wakayama", "jis_code": "303828", "municipality_name": "日高町", "municipality_name_en": "Hidaka-cho", "baseline_votes": 126.0, "target_votes": 54.0, "votes_delta": -72.0, "votes_change_rate_pct": -57.142857, "baseline_vote_share_pct_muni": 2.926829, "target_vote_share_pct_muni": 1.324503, "vote_share_delta_pct_pt": -1.602326 }, { "prefecture_code": "30", "prefecture_name": "和歌山県", "prefecture_name_en": "Wakayama", "jis_code": "303445", "municipality_name": "高野町", "municipality_name_en": "Koya-cho", "baseline_votes": 60.0, "target_votes": 25.0, "votes_delta": -35.0, "votes_change_rate_pct": -58.333333, "baseline_vote_share_pct_muni": 4.054054, "target_vote_share_pct_muni": 1.72295, "vote_share_delta_pct_pt": -2.331104 } ] }