{
  "schema_version": "jp-election-municipality-proportional-swing-graph.v1",
  "dataset_id": "jp-election-db.derived-shape.graph",
  "family": "graph",
  "dataset": "municipality-proportional-swing-2025-2026",
  "source_release_version": "2026-05-03-v050",
  "selector": {
    "prefecture_code": "29",
    "prefecture_name": "奈良県",
    "prefecture_name_en": "Nara",
    "party_id": "JHP",
    "party_label": "保守",
    "party_label_en": "Japan Conservative Party",
    "scope": "prefecture",
    "ranking_id": "",
    "ranking_label": "",
    "ranking_label_en": ""
  },
  "comparison": {
    "comparison_key": "20250720_hc_pr__20260208_hr_block",
    "baseline_election_set_key": "20250720_hc",
    "baseline_election_date": "2025-07-20",
    "baseline_vote_system": "pr",
    "target_election_set_key": "20260208_hr",
    "target_election_date": "2026-02-08",
    "target_vote_system": "block"
  },
  "metric": {
    "primary_metric_id": "votes_change_rate_pct",
    "primary_metric_label": "票数増減率",
    "secondary_metric_id": "votes_delta",
    "secondary_metric_label": "票数差"
  },
  "summary": {
    "point_grain": "municipality",
    "point_count": 39,
    "municipality_count": 39,
    "min_votes_change_rate_pct": -70.0,
    "max_votes_change_rate_pct": -22.727273
  },
  "municipalities": [
    {
      "prefecture_code": "29",
      "prefecture_name": "奈良県",
      "prefecture_name_en": "Nara",
      "jis_code": "294527",
      "municipality_name": "川上村",
      "municipality_name_en": "Kawakami-mura",
      "baseline_votes": 22.0,
      "target_votes": 17.0,
      "votes_delta": -5.0,
      "votes_change_rate_pct": -22.727273,
      "baseline_vote_share_pct_muni": 2.798982,
      "target_vote_share_pct_muni": 2.245707,
      "vote_share_delta_pct_pt": -0.553275
    },
    {
      "prefecture_code": "29",
      "prefecture_name": "奈良県",
      "prefecture_name_en": "Nara",
      "jis_code": "293610",
      "municipality_name": "川西町",
      "municipality_name_en": "Kawanishi-cho",
      "baseline_votes": 161.0,
      "target_votes": 108.0,
      "votes_delta": -53.0,
      "votes_change_rate_pct": -32.919255,
      "baseline_vote_share_pct_muni": 3.899249,
      "target_vote_share_pct_muni": 2.468571,
      "vote_share_delta_pct_pt": -1.430678
    },
    {
      "prefecture_code": "29",
      "prefecture_name": "奈良県",
      "prefecture_name_en": "Nara",
      "jis_code": "294462",
      "municipality_name": "天川村",
      "municipality_name_en": "Tenkawa-mura",
      "baseline_votes": 13.0,
      "target_votes": 8.0,
      "votes_delta": -5.0,
      "votes_change_rate_pct": -38.461538,
      "baseline_vote_share_pct_muni": 1.862464,
      "target_vote_share_pct_muni": 1.117318,
      "vote_share_delta_pct_pt": -0.745146
    },
    {
      "prefecture_code": "29",
      "prefecture_name": "奈良県",
      "prefecture_name_en": "Nara",
      "jis_code": "294012",
      "municipality_name": "高取町",
      "municipality_name_en": "Takatori-cho",
      "baseline_votes": 124.0,
      "target_votes": 69.0,
      "votes_delta": -55.0,
      "votes_change_rate_pct": -44.354839,
      "baseline_vote_share_pct_muni": 3.976908,
      "target_vote_share_pct_muni": 2.104942,
      "vote_share_delta_pct_pt": -1.871966
    },
    {
      "prefecture_code": "29",
      "prefecture_name": "奈良県",
      "prefecture_name_en": "Nara",
      "jis_code": "294535",
      "municipality_name": "東吉野村",
      "municipality_name_en": "Higashiyoshino-mura",
      "baseline_votes": 20.0,
      "target_votes": 11.0,
      "votes_delta": -9.0,
      "votes_change_rate_pct": -45.0,
      "baseline_vote_share_pct_muni": 1.966568,
      "target_vote_share_pct_muni": 1.124744,
      "vote_share_delta_pct_pt": -0.841824
    },
    {
      "prefecture_code": "29",
      "prefecture_name": "奈良県",
      "prefecture_name_en": "Nara",
      "jis_code": "293423",
      "municipality_name": "平群町",
      "municipality_name_en": "Heguri-cho",
      "baseline_votes": 435.0,
      "target_votes": 229.0,
      "votes_delta": -206.0,
      "votes_change_rate_pct": -47.356322,
      "baseline_vote_share_pct_muni": 4.295872,
      "target_vote_share_pct_muni": 2.22806,
      "vote_share_delta_pct_pt": -2.067812
    },
    {
      "prefecture_code": "29",
      "prefecture_name": "奈良県",
      "prefecture_name_en": "Nara",
      "jis_code": "293440",
      "municipality_name": "斑鳩町",
      "municipality_name_en": "Ikaruga-cho",
      "baseline_votes": 684.0,
      "target_votes": 360.0,
      "votes_delta": -324.0,
      "votes_change_rate_pct": -47.368421,
      "baseline_vote_share_pct_muni": 4.739468,
      "target_vote_share_pct_muni": 2.450647,
      "vote_share_delta_pct_pt": -2.288821
    },
    {
      "prefecture_code": "29",
      "prefecture_name": "奈良県",
      "prefecture_name_en": "Nara",
      "jis_code": "293229",
      "municipality_name": "山添村",
      "municipality_name_en": "Yamazoe-mura",
      "baseline_votes": 37.0,
      "target_votes": 19.0,
      "votes_delta": -18.0,
      "votes_change_rate_pct": -48.648649,
      "baseline_vote_share_pct_muni": 1.842629,
      "target_vote_share_pct_muni": 0.949525,
      "vote_share_delta_pct_pt": -0.893104
    },
    {
      "prefecture_code": "29",
      "prefecture_name": "奈良県",
      "prefecture_name_en": "Nara",
      "jis_code": "293431",
      "municipality_name": "三郷町",
      "municipality_name_en": "Sango-cho",
      "baseline_votes": 587.0,
      "target_votes": 294.0,
      "votes_delta": -293.0,
      "votes_change_rate_pct": -49.914821,
      "baseline_vote_share_pct_muni": 5.141906,
      "target_vote_share_pct_muni": 2.521225,
      "vote_share_delta_pct_pt": -2.620681
    },
    {
      "prefecture_code": "29",
      "prefecture_name": "奈良県",
      "prefecture_name_en": "Nara",
      "jis_code": "294420",
      "municipality_name": "大淀町",
      "municipality_name_en": "Oyodo-cho",
      "baseline_votes": 330.0,
      "target_votes": 165.0,
      "votes_delta": -165.0,
      "votes_change_rate_pct": -50.0,
      "baseline_vote_share_pct_muni": 4.048086,
      "target_vote_share_pct_muni": 1.969444,
      "vote_share_delta_pct_pt": -2.078642
    },
    {
      "prefecture_code": "29",
      "prefecture_name": "奈良県",
      "prefecture_name_en": "Nara",
      "jis_code": "294438",
      "municipality_name": "下市町",
      "municipality_name_en": "Shimoichi-cho",
      "baseline_votes": 92.0,
      "target_votes": 45.0,
      "votes_delta": -47.0,
      "votes_change_rate_pct": -51.086957,
      "baseline_vote_share_pct_muni": 3.527607,
      "target_vote_share_pct_muni": 1.736781,
      "vote_share_delta_pct_pt": -1.790826
    },
    {
      "prefecture_code": "29",
      "prefecture_name": "奈良県",
      "prefecture_name_en": "Nara",
      "jis_code": "292117",
      "municipality_name": "葛城市",
      "municipality_name_en": "Katsuragi-shi",
      "baseline_votes": 915.0,
      "target_votes": 445.0,
      "votes_delta": -470.0,
      "votes_change_rate_pct": -51.36612,
      "baseline_vote_share_pct_muni": 4.938205,
      "target_vote_share_pct_muni": 2.443981,
      "vote_share_delta_pct_pt": -2.494224
    },
    {
      "prefecture_code": "29",
      "prefecture_name": "奈良県",
      "prefecture_name_en": "Nara",
      "jis_code": "294020",
      "municipality_name": "明日香村",
      "municipality_name_en": "Asuka-mura",
      "baseline_votes": 131.0,
      "target_votes": 63.0,
      "votes_delta": -68.0,
      "votes_change_rate_pct": -51.908397,
      "baseline_vote_share_pct_muni": 4.617554,
      "target_vote_share_pct_muni": 2.12766,
      "vote_share_delta_pct_pt": -2.489894
    },
    {
      "prefecture_code": "29",
      "prefecture_name": "奈良県",
      "prefecture_name_en": "Nara",
      "jis_code": "293458",
      "municipality_name": "安堵町",
      "municipality_name_en": "Ando-cho",
      "baseline_votes": 178.0,
      "target_votes": 85.0,
      "votes_delta": -93.0,
      "votes_change_rate_pct": -52.247191,
      "baseline_vote_share_pct_muni": 5.415272,
      "target_vote_share_pct_muni": 2.451687,
      "vote_share_delta_pct_pt": -2.963585
    },
    {
      "prefecture_code": "29",
      "prefecture_name": "奈良県",
      "prefecture_name_en": "Nara",
      "jis_code": "294250",
      "municipality_name": "王寺町",
      "municipality_name_en": "Oji-cho",
      "baseline_votes": 720.0,
      "target_votes": 342.0,
      "votes_delta": -378.0,
      "votes_change_rate_pct": -52.5,
      "baseline_vote_share_pct_muni": 5.836576,
      "target_vote_share_pct_muni": 2.708267,
      "vote_share_delta_pct_pt": -3.128309
    },
    {
      "prefecture_code": "29",
      "prefecture_name": "奈良県",
      "prefecture_name_en": "Nara",
      "jis_code": "294276",
      "municipality_name": "河合町",
      "municipality_name_en": "Kawai-cho",
      "baseline_votes": 415.0,
      "target_votes": 197.0,
      "votes_delta": -218.0,
      "votes_change_rate_pct": -52.53012,
      "baseline_vote_share_pct_muni": 4.584622,
      "target_vote_share_pct_muni": 2.12376,
      "vote_share_delta_pct_pt": -2.460862
    },
    {
      "prefecture_code": "29",
      "prefecture_name": "奈良県",
      "prefecture_name_en": "Nara",
      "jis_code": "294268",
      "municipality_name": "広陵町",
      "municipality_name_en": "Koryo-cho",
      "baseline_votes": 956.0,
      "target_votes": 446.0,
      "votes_delta": -510.0,
      "votes_change_rate_pct": -53.34728,
      "baseline_vote_share_pct_muni": 5.612305,
      "target_vote_share_pct_muni": 2.478191,
      "vote_share_delta_pct_pt": -3.134114
    },
    {
      "prefecture_code": "29",
      "prefecture_name": "奈良県",
      "prefecture_name_en": "Nara",
      "jis_code": "292079",
      "municipality_name": "五條市",
      "municipality_name_en": "Gojo-shi",
      "baseline_votes": 476.0,
      "target_votes": 222.0,
      "votes_delta": -254.0,
      "votes_change_rate_pct": -53.361345,
      "baseline_vote_share_pct_muni": 3.516029,
      "target_vote_share_pct_muni": 1.637893,
      "vote_share_delta_pct_pt": -1.878136
    },
    {
      "prefecture_code": "29",
      "prefecture_name": "奈良県",
      "prefecture_name_en": "Nara",
      "jis_code": "292036",
      "municipality_name": "大和郡山市",
      "municipality_name_en": "Yamatokoriyama-shi",
      "baseline_votes": 1979.0,
      "target_votes": 922.0,
      "votes_delta": -1057.0,
      "votes_change_rate_pct": -53.410814,
      "baseline_vote_share_pct_muni": 4.973236,
      "target_vote_share_pct_muni": 2.178073,
      "vote_share_delta_pct_pt": -2.795163
    },
    {
      "prefecture_code": "29",
      "prefecture_name": "奈良県",
      "prefecture_name_en": "Nara",
      "jis_code": "292095",
      "municipality_name": "生駒市",
      "municipality_name_en": "Ikoma-shi",
      "baseline_votes": 3524.0,
      "target_votes": 1634.0,
      "votes_delta": -1890.0,
      "votes_change_rate_pct": -53.632236,
      "baseline_vote_share_pct_muni": 5.590456,
      "target_vote_share_pct_muni": 2.527612,
      "vote_share_delta_pct_pt": -3.062844
    },
    {
      "prefecture_code": "29",
      "prefecture_name": "奈良県",
      "prefecture_name_en": "Nara",
      "jis_code": "292109",
      "municipality_name": "香芝市",
      "municipality_name_en": "Kashiba-shi",
      "baseline_votes": 2135.0,
      "target_votes": 979.0,
      "votes_delta": -1156.0,
      "votes_change_rate_pct": -54.145199,
      "baseline_vote_share_pct_muni": 5.661328,
      "target_vote_share_pct_muni": 2.544179,
      "vote_share_delta_pct_pt": -3.117149
    },
    {
      "prefecture_code": "29",
      "prefecture_name": "奈良県",
      "prefecture_name_en": "Nara",
      "jis_code": "292028",
      "municipality_name": "大和高田市",
      "municipality_name_en": "Yamatotakada-shi",
      "baseline_votes": 1580.0,
      "target_votes": 719.0,
      "votes_delta": -861.0,
      "votes_change_rate_pct": -54.493671,
      "baseline_vote_share_pct_muni": 5.232308,
      "target_vote_share_pct_muni": 2.403878,
      "vote_share_delta_pct_pt": -2.82843
    },
    {
      "prefecture_code": "29",
      "prefecture_name": "奈良県",
      "prefecture_name_en": "Nara",
      "jis_code": "292052",
      "municipality_name": "橿原市",
      "municipality_name_en": "Kashihara-shi",
      "baseline_votes": 3065.0,
      "target_votes": 1380.0,
      "votes_delta": -1685.0,
      "votes_change_rate_pct": -54.97553,
      "baseline_vote_share_pct_muni": 5.407933,
      "target_vote_share_pct_muni": 2.401545,
      "vote_share_delta_pct_pt": -3.006388
    },
    {
      "prefecture_code": "29",
      "prefecture_name": "奈良県",
      "prefecture_name_en": "Nara",
      "jis_code": "292087",
      "municipality_name": "御所市",
      "municipality_name_en": "Gose-shi",
      "baseline_votes": 488.0,
      "target_votes": 219.0,
      "votes_delta": -269.0,
      "votes_change_rate_pct": -55.122951,
      "baseline_vote_share_pct_muni": 4.525642,
      "target_vote_share_pct_muni": 2.033049,
      "vote_share_delta_pct_pt": -2.492593
    },
    {
      "prefecture_code": "29",
      "prefecture_name": "奈良県",
      "prefecture_name_en": "Nara",
      "jis_code": "292010",
      "municipality_name": "奈良市",
      "municipality_name_en": "Nara-shi",
      "baseline_votes": 9907.0,
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      "votes_delta": -5536.0,
      "votes_change_rate_pct": -55.879681,
      "baseline_vote_share_pct_muni": 5.42766,
      "target_vote_share_pct_muni": 2.404039,
      "vote_share_delta_pct_pt": -3.023621
    },
    {
      "prefecture_code": "29",
      "prefecture_name": "奈良県",
      "prefecture_name_en": "Nara",
      "jis_code": "294241",
      "municipality_name": "上牧町",
      "municipality_name_en": "Kammaki-cho",
      "baseline_votes": 525.0,
      "target_votes": 230.0,
      "votes_delta": -295.0,
      "votes_change_rate_pct": -56.190476,
      "baseline_vote_share_pct_muni": 4.889634,
      "target_vote_share_pct_muni": 2.073567,
      "vote_share_delta_pct_pt": -2.816067
    },
    {
      "prefecture_code": "29",
      "prefecture_name": "奈良県",
      "prefecture_name_en": "Nara",
      "jis_code": "294411",
      "municipality_name": "吉野町",
      "municipality_name_en": "Yoshino-cho",
      "baseline_votes": 119.0,
      "target_votes": 52.0,
      "votes_delta": -67.0,
      "votes_change_rate_pct": -56.302521,
      "baseline_vote_share_pct_muni": 3.509289,
      "target_vote_share_pct_muni": 1.720715,
      "vote_share_delta_pct_pt": -1.788574
    },
    {
      "prefecture_code": "29",
      "prefecture_name": "奈良県",
      "prefecture_name_en": "Nara",
      "jis_code": "293636",
      "municipality_name": "田原本町",
      "municipality_name_en": "Tawaramoto-cho",
      "baseline_votes": 764.827,
      "target_votes": 334.0,
      "votes_delta": -430.827,
      "votes_change_rate_pct": -56.329994,
      "baseline_vote_share_pct_muni": 4.929597,
      "target_vote_share_pct_muni": 2.107521,
      "vote_share_delta_pct_pt": -2.822076
    },
    {
      "prefecture_code": "29",
      "prefecture_name": "奈良県",
      "prefecture_name_en": "Nara",
      "jis_code": "292125",
      "municipality_name": "宇陀市",
      "municipality_name_en": "Uda-shi",
      "baseline_votes": 527.0,
      "target_votes": 229.0,
      "votes_delta": -298.0,
      "votes_change_rate_pct": -56.54649,
      "baseline_vote_share_pct_muni": 3.715716,
      "target_vote_share_pct_muni": 1.624344,
      "vote_share_delta_pct_pt": -2.091372
    },
    {
      "prefecture_code": "29",
      "prefecture_name": "奈良県",
      "prefecture_name_en": "Nara",
      "jis_code": "292044",
      "municipality_name": "天理市",
      "municipality_name_en": "Tenri-shi",
      "baseline_votes": 1528.0,
      "target_votes": 653.0,
      "votes_delta": -875.0,
      "votes_change_rate_pct": -57.264398,
      "baseline_vote_share_pct_muni": 5.431923,
      "target_vote_share_pct_muni": 2.259985,
      "vote_share_delta_pct_pt": -3.171938
    },
    {
      "prefecture_code": "29",
      "prefecture_name": "奈良県",
      "prefecture_name_en": "Nara",
      "jis_code": "294497",
      "municipality_name": "十津川村",
      "municipality_name_en": "Totsukawa-mura",
      "baseline_votes": 52.0,
      "target_votes": 22.0,
      "votes_delta": -30.0,
      "votes_change_rate_pct": -57.692308,
      "baseline_vote_share_pct_muni": 2.957907,
      "target_vote_share_pct_muni": 1.265095,
      "vote_share_delta_pct_pt": -1.692812
    },
    {
      "prefecture_code": "29",
      "prefecture_name": "奈良県",
      "prefecture_name_en": "Nara",
      "jis_code": "293628",
      "municipality_name": "三宅町",
      "municipality_name_en": "Miyake-cho",
      "baseline_votes": 145.0,
      "target_votes": 61.0,
      "votes_delta": -84.0,
      "votes_change_rate_pct": -57.931034,
      "baseline_vote_share_pct_muni": 4.517134,
      "target_vote_share_pct_muni": 1.832382,
      "vote_share_delta_pct_pt": -2.684752
    },
    {
      "prefecture_code": "29",
      "prefecture_name": "奈良県",
      "prefecture_name_en": "Nara",
      "jis_code": "292060",
      "municipality_name": "桜井市",
      "municipality_name_en": "Sakurai-shi",
      "baseline_votes": 1282.0,
      "target_votes": 539.0,
      "votes_delta": -743.0,
      "votes_change_rate_pct": -57.956318,
      "baseline_vote_share_pct_muni": 4.992795,
      "target_vote_share_pct_muni": 2.110911,
      "vote_share_delta_pct_pt": -2.881884
    },
    {
      "prefecture_code": "29",
      "prefecture_name": "奈良県",
      "prefecture_name_en": "Nara",
      "jis_code": "293857",
      "municipality_name": "曽爾村",
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}
