{
  "schema_version": "jp-election-municipality-proportional-swing-graph.v1",
  "dataset_id": "jp-election-db.derived-shape.graph",
  "family": "graph",
  "dataset": "municipality-proportional-swing-2025-2026",
  "source_release_version": "2026-05-03-v050",
  "selector": {
    "prefecture_code": "29",
    "prefecture_name": "奈良県",
    "prefecture_name_en": "Nara",
    "party_id": "DPP",
    "party_label": "国民",
    "party_label_en": "Democratic Party for the People",
    "scope": "prefecture",
    "ranking_id": "",
    "ranking_label": "",
    "ranking_label_en": ""
  },
  "comparison": {
    "comparison_key": "20250720_hc_pr__20260208_hr_block",
    "baseline_election_set_key": "20250720_hc",
    "baseline_election_date": "2025-07-20",
    "baseline_vote_system": "pr",
    "target_election_set_key": "20260208_hr",
    "target_election_date": "2026-02-08",
    "target_vote_system": "block"
  },
  "metric": {
    "primary_metric_id": "votes_change_rate_pct",
    "primary_metric_label": "票数増減率",
    "secondary_metric_id": "votes_delta",
    "secondary_metric_label": "票数差"
  },
  "summary": {
    "point_grain": "municipality",
    "point_count": 39,
    "municipality_count": 39,
    "min_votes_change_rate_pct": -43.816495,
    "max_votes_change_rate_pct": -1.363504
  },
  "municipalities": [
    {
      "prefecture_code": "29",
      "prefecture_name": "奈良県",
      "prefecture_name_en": "Nara",
      "jis_code": "294519",
      "municipality_name": "上北山村",
      "municipality_name_en": "Kamikitayama-mura",
      "baseline_votes": 17.235,
      "target_votes": 17.0,
      "votes_delta": -0.235,
      "votes_change_rate_pct": -1.363504,
      "baseline_vote_share_pct_muni": 5.842373,
      "target_vote_share_pct_muni": 6.181818,
      "vote_share_delta_pct_pt": 0.339445
    },
    {
      "prefecture_code": "29",
      "prefecture_name": "奈良県",
      "prefecture_name_en": "Nara",
      "jis_code": "293628",
      "municipality_name": "三宅町",
      "municipality_name_en": "Miyake-cho",
      "baseline_votes": 342.187,
      "target_votes": 293.0,
      "votes_delta": -49.187,
      "votes_change_rate_pct": -14.374304,
      "baseline_vote_share_pct_muni": 10.660031,
      "target_vote_share_pct_muni": 8.801442,
      "vote_share_delta_pct_pt": -1.858589
    },
    {
      "prefecture_code": "29",
      "prefecture_name": "奈良県",
      "prefecture_name_en": "Nara",
      "jis_code": "293229",
      "municipality_name": "山添村",
      "municipality_name_en": "Yamazoe-mura",
      "baseline_votes": 125.887,
      "target_votes": 107.0,
      "votes_delta": -18.887,
      "votes_change_rate_pct": -15.003138,
      "baseline_vote_share_pct_muni": 6.269273,
      "target_vote_share_pct_muni": 5.347326,
      "vote_share_delta_pct_pt": -0.921947
    },
    {
      "prefecture_code": "29",
      "prefecture_name": "奈良県",
      "prefecture_name_en": "Nara",
      "jis_code": "293610",
      "municipality_name": "川西町",
      "municipality_name_en": "Kawanishi-cho",
      "baseline_votes": 416.06,
      "target_votes": 352.0,
      "votes_delta": -64.06,
      "votes_change_rate_pct": -15.396818,
      "baseline_vote_share_pct_muni": 10.076532,
      "target_vote_share_pct_muni": 8.045714,
      "vote_share_delta_pct_pt": -2.030818
    },
    {
      "prefecture_code": "29",
      "prefecture_name": "奈良県",
      "prefecture_name_en": "Nara",
      "jis_code": "294438",
      "municipality_name": "下市町",
      "municipality_name_en": "Shimoichi-cho",
      "baseline_votes": 203.164,
      "target_votes": 159.0,
      "votes_delta": -44.164,
      "votes_change_rate_pct": -21.738103,
      "baseline_vote_share_pct_muni": 7.790031,
      "target_vote_share_pct_muni": 6.136627,
      "vote_share_delta_pct_pt": -1.653404
    },
    {
      "prefecture_code": "29",
      "prefecture_name": "奈良県",
      "prefecture_name_en": "Nara",
      "jis_code": "294527",
      "municipality_name": "川上村",
      "municipality_name_en": "Kawakami-mura",
      "baseline_votes": 49.347,
      "target_votes": 38.0,
      "votes_delta": -11.347,
      "votes_change_rate_pct": -22.994306,
      "baseline_vote_share_pct_muni": 6.278244,
      "target_vote_share_pct_muni": 5.019815,
      "vote_share_delta_pct_pt": -1.258429
    },
    {
      "prefecture_code": "29",
      "prefecture_name": "奈良県",
      "prefecture_name_en": "Nara",
      "jis_code": "292036",
      "municipality_name": "大和郡山市",
      "municipality_name_en": "Yamatokoriyama-shi",
      "baseline_votes": 5081.452,
      "target_votes": 3885.0,
      "votes_delta": -1196.452,
      "votes_change_rate_pct": -23.545475,
      "baseline_vote_share_pct_muni": 12.769713,
      "target_vote_share_pct_muni": 9.177671,
      "vote_share_delta_pct_pt": -3.592042
    },
    {
      "prefecture_code": "29",
      "prefecture_name": "奈良県",
      "prefecture_name_en": "Nara",
      "jis_code": "292087",
      "municipality_name": "御所市",
      "municipality_name_en": "Gose-shi",
      "baseline_votes": 967.207,
      "target_votes": 739.0,
      "votes_delta": -228.207,
      "votes_change_rate_pct": -23.594432,
      "baseline_vote_share_pct_muni": 8.969739,
      "target_vote_share_pct_muni": 6.860379,
      "vote_share_delta_pct_pt": -2.10936
    },
    {
      "prefecture_code": "29",
      "prefecture_name": "奈良県",
      "prefecture_name_en": "Nara",
      "jis_code": "294500",
      "municipality_name": "下北山村",
      "municipality_name_en": "Shimokitayama-mura",
      "baseline_votes": 55.255,
      "target_votes": 42.0,
      "votes_delta": -13.255,
      "votes_change_rate_pct": -23.988779,
      "baseline_vote_share_pct_muni": 10.119963,
      "target_vote_share_pct_muni": 7.540395,
      "vote_share_delta_pct_pt": -2.579568
    },
    {
      "prefecture_code": "29",
      "prefecture_name": "奈良県",
      "prefecture_name_en": "Nara",
      "jis_code": "294411",
      "municipality_name": "吉野町",
      "municipality_name_en": "Yoshino-cho",
      "baseline_votes": 266.866,
      "target_votes": 202.0,
      "votes_delta": -64.866,
      "votes_change_rate_pct": -24.306581,
      "baseline_vote_share_pct_muni": 7.869832,
      "target_vote_share_pct_muni": 6.684315,
      "vote_share_delta_pct_pt": -1.185517
    },
    {
      "prefecture_code": "29",
      "prefecture_name": "奈良県",
      "prefecture_name_en": "Nara",
      "jis_code": "293857",
      "municipality_name": "曽爾村",
      "municipality_name_en": "Soni-mura",
      "baseline_votes": 40.0,
      "target_votes": 30.0,
      "votes_delta": -10.0,
      "votes_change_rate_pct": -25.0,
      "baseline_vote_share_pct_muni": 5.167959,
      "target_vote_share_pct_muni": 4.043127,
      "vote_share_delta_pct_pt": -1.124832
    },
    {
      "prefecture_code": "29",
      "prefecture_name": "奈良県",
      "prefecture_name_en": "Nara",
      "jis_code": "294020",
      "municipality_name": "明日香村",
      "municipality_name_en": "Asuka-mura",
      "baseline_votes": 260.0,
      "target_votes": 194.0,
      "votes_delta": -66.0,
      "votes_change_rate_pct": -25.384615,
      "baseline_vote_share_pct_muni": 9.164611,
      "target_vote_share_pct_muni": 6.551841,
      "vote_share_delta_pct_pt": -2.61277
    },
    {
      "prefecture_code": "29",
      "prefecture_name": "奈良県",
      "prefecture_name_en": "Nara",
      "jis_code": "294241",
      "municipality_name": "上牧町",
      "municipality_name_en": "Kammaki-cho",
      "baseline_votes": 1098.205,
      "target_votes": 816.0,
      "votes_delta": -282.205,
      "votes_change_rate_pct": -25.696933,
      "baseline_vote_share_pct_muni": 10.228229,
      "target_vote_share_pct_muni": 7.356653,
      "vote_share_delta_pct_pt": -2.871576
    },
    {
      "prefecture_code": "29",
      "prefecture_name": "奈良県",
      "prefecture_name_en": "Nara",
      "jis_code": "294497",
      "municipality_name": "十津川村",
      "municipality_name_en": "Totsukawa-mura",
      "baseline_votes": 129.135,
      "target_votes": 95.0,
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      "votes_change_rate_pct": -26.433577,
      "baseline_vote_share_pct_muni": 7.345563,
      "target_vote_share_pct_muni": 5.46291,
      "vote_share_delta_pct_pt": -1.882653
    },
    {
      "prefecture_code": "29",
      "prefecture_name": "奈良県",
      "prefecture_name_en": "Nara",
      "jis_code": "294250",
      "municipality_name": "王寺町",
      "municipality_name_en": "Oji-cho",
      "baseline_votes": 1504.007,
      "target_votes": 1076.0,
      "votes_delta": -428.007,
      "votes_change_rate_pct": -28.45778,
      "baseline_vote_share_pct_muni": 12.192015,
      "target_vote_share_pct_muni": 8.520748,
      "vote_share_delta_pct_pt": -3.671267
    },
    {
      "prefecture_code": "29",
      "prefecture_name": "奈良県",
      "prefecture_name_en": "Nara",
      "jis_code": "292095",
      "municipality_name": "生駒市",
      "municipality_name_en": "Ikoma-shi",
      "baseline_votes": 7980.388,
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      "votes_change_rate_pct": -28.612494,
      "baseline_vote_share_pct_muni": 12.660048,
      "target_vote_share_pct_muni": 8.81261,
      "vote_share_delta_pct_pt": -3.847438
    },
    {
      "prefecture_code": "29",
      "prefecture_name": "奈良県",
      "prefecture_name_en": "Nara",
      "jis_code": "292109",
      "municipality_name": "香芝市",
      "municipality_name_en": "Kashiba-shi",
      "baseline_votes": 4832.9,
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      "votes_delta": -1407.9,
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      "target_vote_share_pct_muni": 8.900728,
      "vote_share_delta_pct_pt": -3.914556
    },
    {
      "prefecture_code": "29",
      "prefecture_name": "奈良県",
      "prefecture_name_en": "Nara",
      "jis_code": "292010",
      "municipality_name": "奈良市",
      "municipality_name_en": "Nara-shi",
      "baseline_votes": 21691.668,
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      "votes_change_rate_pct": -29.558206,
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      "target_vote_share_pct_muni": 8.403962,
      "vote_share_delta_pct_pt": -3.48006
    },
    {
      "prefecture_code": "29",
      "prefecture_name": "奈良県",
      "prefecture_name_en": "Nara",
      "jis_code": "293440",
      "municipality_name": "斑鳩町",
      "municipality_name_en": "Ikaruga-cho",
      "baseline_votes": 1783.579,
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      "baseline_vote_share_pct_muni": 12.358502,
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      "vote_share_delta_pct_pt": -3.815275
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    {
      "prefecture_code": "29",
      "prefecture_name": "奈良県",
      "prefecture_name_en": "Nara",
      "jis_code": "294268",
      "municipality_name": "広陵町",
      "municipality_name_en": "Koryo-cho",
      "baseline_votes": 2033.549,
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      "target_vote_share_pct_muni": 7.91243,
      "vote_share_delta_pct_pt": -4.025747
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      "prefecture_code": "29",
      "prefecture_name": "奈良県",
      "prefecture_name_en": "Nara",
      "jis_code": "294276",
      "municipality_name": "河合町",
      "municipality_name_en": "Kawai-cho",
      "baseline_votes": 978.239,
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      "target_vote_share_pct_muni": 7.352307,
      "vote_share_delta_pct_pt": -3.454575
    },
    {
      "prefecture_code": "29",
      "prefecture_name": "奈良県",
      "prefecture_name_en": "Nara",
      "jis_code": "292079",
      "municipality_name": "五條市",
      "municipality_name_en": "Gojo-shi",
      "baseline_votes": 1225.329,
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      "vote_share_delta_pct_pt": -2.765067
    },
    {
      "prefecture_code": "29",
      "prefecture_name": "奈良県",
      "prefecture_name_en": "Nara",
      "jis_code": "293423",
      "municipality_name": "平群町",
      "municipality_name_en": "Heguri-cho",
      "baseline_votes": 992.361,
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      "votes_change_rate_pct": -30.468852,
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      "target_vote_share_pct_muni": 6.713368,
      "vote_share_delta_pct_pt": -3.08676
    },
    {
      "prefecture_code": "29",
      "prefecture_name": "奈良県",
      "prefecture_name_en": "Nara",
      "jis_code": "293431",
      "municipality_name": "三郷町",
      "municipality_name_en": "Sango-cho",
      "baseline_votes": 1363.979,
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      "vote_share_delta_pct_pt": -3.852598
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    {
      "prefecture_code": "29",
      "prefecture_name": "奈良県",
      "prefecture_name_en": "Nara",
      "jis_code": "292044",
      "municipality_name": "天理市",
      "municipality_name_en": "Tenri-shi",
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    {
      "prefecture_code": "29",
      "prefecture_name": "奈良県",
      "prefecture_name_en": "Nara",
      "jis_code": "293636",
      "municipality_name": "田原本町",
      "municipality_name_en": "Tawaramoto-cho",
      "baseline_votes": 1916.973,
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      "vote_share_delta_pct_pt": -4.272572
    },
    {
      "prefecture_code": "29",
      "prefecture_name": "奈良県",
      "prefecture_name_en": "Nara",
      "jis_code": "294470",
      "municipality_name": "野迫川村",
      "municipality_name_en": "Nosegawa-mura",
      "baseline_votes": 13.5,
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      "baseline_vote_share_pct_muni": 6.45933,
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      "vote_share_delta_pct_pt": -2.025832
    },
    {
      "prefecture_code": "29",
      "prefecture_name": "奈良県",
      "prefecture_name_en": "Nara",
      "jis_code": "294462",
      "municipality_name": "天川村",
      "municipality_name_en": "Tenkawa-mura",
      "baseline_votes": 52.97,
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      "votes_delta": -17.97,
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    {
      "prefecture_code": "29",
      "prefecture_name": "奈良県",
      "prefecture_name_en": "Nara",
      "jis_code": "293458",
      "municipality_name": "安堵町",
      "municipality_name_en": "Ando-cho",
      "baseline_votes": 342.583,
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      "votes_change_rate_pct": -34.030585,
      "baseline_vote_share_pct_muni": 10.422361,
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      "vote_share_delta_pct_pt": -3.903757
    },
    {
      "prefecture_code": "29",
      "prefecture_name": "奈良県",
      "prefecture_name_en": "Nara",
      "jis_code": "294446",
      "municipality_name": "黒滝村",
      "municipality_name_en": "Kurotaki-mura",
      "baseline_votes": 35.645,
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      "votes_delta": -12.645,
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      "baseline_vote_share_pct_muni": 9.530749,
      "target_vote_share_pct_muni": 6.133333,
      "vote_share_delta_pct_pt": -3.397416
    },
    {
      "prefecture_code": "29",
      "prefecture_name": "奈良県",
      "prefecture_name_en": "Nara",
      "jis_code": "294420",
      "municipality_name": "大淀町",
      "municipality_name_en": "Oyodo-cho",
      "baseline_votes": 716.33,
      "target_votes": 459.0,
      "votes_delta": -257.33,
      "votes_change_rate_pct": -35.923387,
      "baseline_vote_share_pct_muni": 8.787169,
      "target_vote_share_pct_muni": 5.478635,
      "vote_share_delta_pct_pt": -3.308534
    },
    {
      "prefecture_code": "29",
      "prefecture_name": "奈良県",
      "prefecture_name_en": "Nara",
      "jis_code": "294012",
      "municipality_name": "高取町",
      "municipality_name_en": "Takatori-cho",
      "baseline_votes": 334.484,
      "target_votes": 214.0,
      "votes_delta": -120.484,
      "votes_change_rate_pct": -36.020856,
      "baseline_vote_share_pct_muni": 10.727518,
      "target_vote_share_pct_muni": 6.528371,
      "vote_share_delta_pct_pt": -4.199147
    },
    {
      "prefecture_code": "29",
      "prefecture_name": "奈良県",
      "prefecture_name_en": "Nara",
      "jis_code": "294535",
      "municipality_name": "東吉野村",
      "municipality_name_en": "Higashiyoshino-mura",
      "baseline_votes": 64.205,
      "target_votes": 41.0,
      "votes_delta": -23.205,
      "votes_change_rate_pct": -36.142045,
      "baseline_vote_share_pct_muni": 6.313176,
      "target_vote_share_pct_muni": 4.192229,
      "vote_share_delta_pct_pt": -2.120947
    },
    {
      "prefecture_code": "29",
      "prefecture_name": "奈良県",
      "prefecture_name_en": "Nara",
      "jis_code": "292060",
      "municipality_name": "桜井市",
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}
