{
  "schema_version": "jp-election-municipality-proportional-swing-graph.v1",
  "dataset_id": "jp-election-db.derived-shape.graph",
  "family": "graph",
  "dataset": "municipality-proportional-swing-2025-2026",
  "source_release_version": "2026-05-03-v050",
  "selector": {
    "prefecture_code": "03",
    "prefecture_name": "岩手県",
    "prefecture_name_en": "Iwate",
    "party_id": "CDR_TJU",
    "party_label": "中道+ゆうこく（2025=公明+立憲）",
    "party_label_en": "Centrist + Yukoku bloc (2025=Komeito+CDP)",
    "scope": "prefecture",
    "ranking_id": "",
    "ranking_label": "",
    "ranking_label_en": ""
  },
  "comparison": {
    "comparison_key": "20250720_hc_pr__20260208_hr_block",
    "baseline_election_set_key": "20250720_hc",
    "baseline_election_date": "2025-07-20",
    "baseline_vote_system": "pr",
    "target_election_set_key": "20260208_hr",
    "target_election_date": "2026-02-08",
    "target_vote_system": "block"
  },
  "metric": {
    "primary_metric_id": "votes_change_rate_pct",
    "primary_metric_label": "票数増減率",
    "secondary_metric_id": "votes_delta",
    "secondary_metric_label": "票数差"
  },
  "summary": {
    "point_grain": "municipality",
    "point_count": 33,
    "municipality_count": 33,
    "min_votes_change_rate_pct": -41.8022,
    "max_votes_change_rate_pct": -16.128385
  },
  "municipalities": [
    {
      "prefecture_code": "03",
      "prefecture_name": "岩手県",
      "prefecture_name_en": "Iwate",
      "jis_code": "032018",
      "municipality_name": "盛岡市",
      "municipality_name_en": "Morioka-shi",
      "baseline_votes": 38423.011,
      "target_votes": 32226.0,
      "votes_delta": -6197.011,
      "votes_change_rate_pct": -16.128385,
      "baseline_vote_share_pct_muni": 28.205136,
      "target_vote_share_pct_muni": 23.761982,
      "vote_share_delta_pct_pt": -4.443154
    },
    {
      "prefecture_code": "03",
      "prefecture_name": "岩手県",
      "prefecture_name_en": "Iwate",
      "jis_code": "032158",
      "municipality_name": "奥州市",
      "municipality_name_en": "Oshu-shi",
      "baseline_votes": 17756.938,
      "target_votes": 14893.0,
      "votes_delta": -2863.938,
      "votes_change_rate_pct": -16.128558,
      "baseline_vote_share_pct_muni": 32.796369,
      "target_vote_share_pct_muni": 26.494343,
      "vote_share_delta_pct_pt": -6.302026
    },
    {
      "prefecture_code": "03",
      "prefecture_name": "岩手県",
      "prefecture_name_en": "Iwate",
      "jis_code": "032093",
      "municipality_name": "一関市",
      "municipality_name_en": "Ichinoseki-shi",
      "baseline_votes": 15816.957,
      "target_votes": 13218.0,
      "votes_delta": -2598.957,
      "votes_change_rate_pct": -16.43146,
      "baseline_vote_share_pct_muni": 30.419565,
      "target_vote_share_pct_muni": 25.174266,
      "vote_share_delta_pct_pt": -5.245299
    },
    {
      "prefecture_code": "03",
      "prefecture_name": "岩手県",
      "prefecture_name_en": "Iwate",
      "jis_code": "033219",
      "municipality_name": "紫波町",
      "municipality_name_en": "Shiwa-cho",
      "baseline_votes": 4410.831,
      "target_votes": 3590.0,
      "votes_delta": -820.831,
      "votes_change_rate_pct": -18.609441,
      "baseline_vote_share_pct_muni": 27.420309,
      "target_vote_share_pct_muni": 22.19749,
      "vote_share_delta_pct_pt": -5.222819
    },
    {
      "prefecture_code": "03",
      "prefecture_name": "岩手県",
      "prefecture_name_en": "Iwate",
      "jis_code": "033227",
      "municipality_name": "矢巾町",
      "municipality_name_en": "Yahaba-cho",
      "baseline_votes": 3905.384,
      "target_votes": 3158.0,
      "votes_delta": -747.384,
      "votes_change_rate_pct": -19.137273,
      "baseline_vote_share_pct_muni": 29.291112,
      "target_vote_share_pct_muni": 23.828567,
      "vote_share_delta_pct_pt": -5.462545
    },
    {
      "prefecture_code": "03",
      "prefecture_name": "岩手県",
      "prefecture_name_en": "Iwate",
      "jis_code": "032050",
      "municipality_name": "花巻市",
      "municipality_name_en": "Hanamaki-shi",
      "baseline_votes": 13149.421,
      "target_votes": 10345.0,
      "votes_delta": -2804.421,
      "votes_change_rate_pct": -21.327334,
      "baseline_vote_share_pct_muni": 29.640514,
      "target_vote_share_pct_muni": 23.9036,
      "vote_share_delta_pct_pt": -5.736914
    },
    {
      "prefecture_code": "03",
      "prefecture_name": "岩手県",
      "prefecture_name_en": "Iwate",
      "jis_code": "034029",
      "municipality_name": "平泉町",
      "municipality_name_en": "Hiraizumi-cho",
      "baseline_votes": 1182.612,
      "target_votes": 927.0,
      "votes_delta": -255.612,
      "votes_change_rate_pct": -21.61419,
      "baseline_vote_share_pct_muni": 32.850333,
      "target_vote_share_pct_muni": 24.966335,
      "vote_share_delta_pct_pt": -7.883998
    },
    {
      "prefecture_code": "03",
      "prefecture_name": "岩手県",
      "prefecture_name_en": "Iwate",
      "jis_code": "033812",
      "municipality_name": "金ケ崎町",
      "municipality_name_en": "Kanegasaki-cho",
      "baseline_votes": 2326.195,
      "target_votes": 1807.0,
      "votes_delta": -519.195,
      "votes_change_rate_pct": -22.319496,
      "baseline_vote_share_pct_muni": 29.490302,
      "target_vote_share_pct_muni": 22.377709,
      "vote_share_delta_pct_pt": -7.112593
    },
    {
      "prefecture_code": "03",
      "prefecture_name": "岩手県",
      "prefecture_name_en": "Iwate",
      "jis_code": "032077",
      "municipality_name": "久慈市",
      "municipality_name_en": "Kuji-shi",
      "baseline_votes": 3654.651,
      "target_votes": 2740.0,
      "votes_delta": -914.651,
      "votes_change_rate_pct": -25.027041,
      "baseline_vote_share_pct_muni": 27.067479,
      "target_vote_share_pct_muni": 19.781965,
      "vote_share_delta_pct_pt": -7.285514
    },
    {
      "prefecture_code": "03",
      "prefecture_name": "岩手県",
      "prefecture_name_en": "Iwate",
      "jis_code": "032069",
      "municipality_name": "北上市",
      "municipality_name_en": "Kitakami-shi",
      "baseline_votes": 12449.377,
      "target_votes": 9313.0,
      "votes_delta": -3136.377,
      "votes_change_rate_pct": -25.193044,
      "baseline_vote_share_pct_muni": 27.544697,
      "target_vote_share_pct_muni": 20.921508,
      "vote_share_delta_pct_pt": -6.623189
    },
    {
      "prefecture_code": "03",
      "prefecture_name": "岩手県",
      "prefecture_name_en": "Iwate",
      "jis_code": "035017",
      "municipality_name": "軽米町",
      "municipality_name_en": "Karumai-machi",
      "baseline_votes": 1031.055,
      "target_votes": 768.0,
      "votes_delta": -263.055,
      "votes_change_rate_pct": -25.513188,
      "baseline_vote_share_pct_muni": 30.183109,
      "target_vote_share_pct_muni": 21.035333,
      "vote_share_delta_pct_pt": -9.147776
    },
    {
      "prefecture_code": "03",
      "prefecture_name": "岩手県",
      "prefecture_name_en": "Iwate",
      "jis_code": "033669",
      "municipality_name": "西和賀町",
      "municipality_name_en": "Nishiwaga-machi",
      "baseline_votes": 880.217,
      "target_votes": 655.0,
      "votes_delta": -225.217,
      "votes_change_rate_pct": -25.586532,
      "baseline_vote_share_pct_muni": 32.492322,
      "target_vote_share_pct_muni": 23.161245,
      "vote_share_delta_pct_pt": -9.331077
    },
    {
      "prefecture_code": "03",
      "prefecture_name": "岩手県",
      "prefecture_name_en": "Iwate",
      "jis_code": "032107",
      "municipality_name": "陸前高田市",
      "municipality_name_en": "Rikuzentakata-shi",
      "baseline_votes": 2691.12,
      "target_votes": 1982.0,
      "votes_delta": -709.12,
      "votes_change_rate_pct": -26.350367,
      "baseline_vote_share_pct_muni": 27.945172,
      "target_vote_share_pct_muni": 20.068854,
      "vote_share_delta_pct_pt": -7.876318
    },
    {
      "prefecture_code": "03",
      "prefecture_name": "岩手県",
      "prefecture_name_en": "Iwate",
      "jis_code": "034410",
      "municipality_name": "住田町",
      "municipality_name_en": "Sumita-cho",
      "baseline_votes": 771.979,
      "target_votes": 565.0,
      "votes_delta": -206.979,
      "votes_change_rate_pct": -26.811481,
      "baseline_vote_share_pct_muni": 31.612572,
      "target_vote_share_pct_muni": 22.367379,
      "vote_share_delta_pct_pt": -9.245193
    },
    {
      "prefecture_code": "03",
      "prefecture_name": "岩手県",
      "prefecture_name_en": "Iwate",
      "jis_code": "032034",
      "municipality_name": "大船渡市",
      "municipality_name_en": "Ofunato-shi",
      "baseline_votes": 4685.523,
      "target_votes": 3374.0,
      "votes_delta": -1311.523,
      "votes_change_rate_pct": -27.990963,
      "baseline_vote_share_pct_muni": 27.594364,
      "target_vote_share_pct_muni": 19.626549,
      "vote_share_delta_pct_pt": -7.967815
    },
    {
      "prefecture_code": "03",
      "prefecture_name": "岩手県",
      "prefecture_name_en": "Iwate",
      "jis_code": "033014",
      "municipality_name": "雫石町",
      "municipality_name_en": "Shizukuishi-cho",
      "baseline_votes": 2169.078,
      "target_votes": 1514.0,
      "votes_delta": -655.078,
      "votes_change_rate_pct": -30.200758,
      "baseline_vote_share_pct_muni": 30.714783,
      "target_vote_share_pct_muni": 21.749749,
      "vote_share_delta_pct_pt": -8.965034
    },
    {
      "prefecture_code": "03",
      "prefecture_name": "岩手県",
      "prefecture_name_en": "Iwate",
      "jis_code": "035076",
      "municipality_name": "洋野町",
      "municipality_name_en": "Hirono-cho",
      "baseline_votes": 1740.449,
      "target_votes": 1202.0,
      "votes_delta": -538.449,
      "votes_change_rate_pct": -30.937362,
      "baseline_vote_share_pct_muni": 26.446574,
      "target_vote_share_pct_muni": 17.235446,
      "vote_share_delta_pct_pt": -9.211128
    },
    {
      "prefecture_code": "03",
      "prefecture_name": "岩手県",
      "prefecture_name_en": "Iwate",
      "jis_code": "032115",
      "municipality_name": "釜石市",
      "municipality_name_en": "Kamaishi-shi",
      "baseline_votes": 4498.015,
      "target_votes": 3105.0,
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      "votes_change_rate_pct": -30.96955,
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      "vote_share_delta_pct_pt": -9.312051
    },
    {
      "prefecture_code": "03",
      "prefecture_name": "岩手県",
      "prefecture_name_en": "Iwate",
      "jis_code": "034851",
      "municipality_name": "普代村",
      "municipality_name_en": "Fudai-mura",
      "baseline_votes": 372.765,
      "target_votes": 255.0,
      "votes_delta": -117.765,
      "votes_change_rate_pct": -31.59229,
      "baseline_vote_share_pct_muni": 29.145035,
      "target_vote_share_pct_muni": 19.782777,
      "vote_share_delta_pct_pt": -9.362258
    },
    {
      "prefecture_code": "03",
      "prefecture_name": "岩手県",
      "prefecture_name_en": "Iwate",
      "jis_code": "032085",
      "municipality_name": "遠野市",
      "municipality_name_en": "Tono-shi",
      "baseline_votes": 3446.252,
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      "votes_change_rate_pct": -31.926046,
      "baseline_vote_share_pct_muni": 28.682913,
      "target_vote_share_pct_muni": 19.861158,
      "vote_share_delta_pct_pt": -8.821755
    },
    {
      "prefecture_code": "03",
      "prefecture_name": "岩手県",
      "prefecture_name_en": "Iwate",
      "jis_code": "034843",
      "municipality_name": "田野畑村",
      "municipality_name_en": "Tanohata-mura",
      "baseline_votes": 396.934,
      "target_votes": 270.0,
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      "votes_change_rate_pct": -31.978616,
      "baseline_vote_share_pct_muni": 24.964402,
      "target_vote_share_pct_muni": 16.959799,
      "vote_share_delta_pct_pt": -8.004603
    },
    {
      "prefecture_code": "03",
      "prefecture_name": "岩手県",
      "prefecture_name_en": "Iwate",
      "jis_code": "034835",
      "municipality_name": "岩泉町",
      "municipality_name_en": "Iwaizumi-cho",
      "baseline_votes": 1079.697,
      "target_votes": 734.0,
      "votes_delta": -345.697,
      "votes_change_rate_pct": -32.017964,
      "baseline_vote_share_pct_muni": 28.383202,
      "target_vote_share_pct_muni": 18.507312,
      "vote_share_delta_pct_pt": -9.87589
    },
    {
      "prefecture_code": "03",
      "prefecture_name": "岩手県",
      "prefecture_name_en": "Iwate",
      "jis_code": "032026",
      "municipality_name": "宮古市",
      "municipality_name_en": "Miyako-shi",
      "baseline_votes": 5937.232,
      "target_votes": 4030.0,
      "votes_delta": -1907.232,
      "votes_change_rate_pct": -32.123252,
      "baseline_vote_share_pct_muni": 27.346654,
      "target_vote_share_pct_muni": 17.508798,
      "vote_share_delta_pct_pt": -9.837856
    },
    {
      "prefecture_code": "03",
      "prefecture_name": "岩手県",
      "prefecture_name_en": "Iwate",
      "jis_code": "034614",
      "municipality_name": "大槌町",
      "municipality_name_en": "Otsuchi-cho",
      "baseline_votes": 1329.579,
      "target_votes": 895.0,
      "votes_delta": -434.579,
      "votes_change_rate_pct": -32.685459,
      "baseline_vote_share_pct_muni": 25.973413,
      "target_vote_share_pct_muni": 17.796779,
      "vote_share_delta_pct_pt": -8.176634
    },
    {
      "prefecture_code": "03",
      "prefecture_name": "岩手県",
      "prefecture_name_en": "Iwate",
      "jis_code": "033030",
      "municipality_name": "岩手町",
      "municipality_name_en": "Iwate-machi",
      "baseline_votes": 1354.934,
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      "votes_change_rate_pct": -33.871318,
      "baseline_vote_share_pct_muni": 25.231546,
      "target_vote_share_pct_muni": 16.437351,
      "vote_share_delta_pct_pt": -8.794195
    },
    {
      "prefecture_code": "03",
      "prefecture_name": "岩手県",
      "prefecture_name_en": "Iwate",
      "jis_code": "032140",
      "municipality_name": "八幡平市",
      "municipality_name_en": "Hachimantai-shi",
      "baseline_votes": 2929.143,
      "target_votes": 1905.0,
      "votes_delta": -1024.143,
      "votes_change_rate_pct": -34.963913,
      "baseline_vote_share_pct_muni": 27.8966,
      "target_vote_share_pct_muni": 18.217462,
      "vote_share_delta_pct_pt": -9.679138
    },
    {
      "prefecture_code": "03",
      "prefecture_name": "岩手県",
      "prefecture_name_en": "Iwate",
      "jis_code": "032166",
      "municipality_name": "滝沢市",
      "municipality_name_en": "Takizawa-shi",
      "baseline_votes": 7519.161,
      "target_votes": 4869.0,
      "votes_delta": -2650.161,
      "votes_change_rate_pct": -35.245435,
      "baseline_vote_share_pct_muni": 29.275661,
      "target_vote_share_pct_muni": 19.606975,
      "vote_share_delta_pct_pt": -9.668686
    },
    {
      "prefecture_code": "03",
      "prefecture_name": "岩手県",
      "prefecture_name_en": "Iwate",
      "jis_code": "035033",
      "municipality_name": "野田村",
      "municipality_name_en": "Noda-mura",
      "baseline_votes": 560.354,
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      "votes_delta": -201.354,
      "votes_change_rate_pct": -35.933356,
      "baseline_vote_share_pct_muni": 28.78038,
      "target_vote_share_pct_muni": 16.878232,
      "vote_share_delta_pct_pt": -11.902148
    },
    {
      "prefecture_code": "03",
      "prefecture_name": "岩手県",
      "prefecture_name_en": "Iwate",
      "jis_code": "035068",
      "municipality_name": "九戸村",
      "municipality_name_en": "Kunohe-mura",
      "baseline_votes": 552.344,
      "target_votes": 342.0,
      "votes_delta": -210.344,
      "votes_change_rate_pct": -38.082065,
      "baseline_vote_share_pct_muni": 25.278902,
      "target_vote_share_pct_muni": 14.735028,
      "vote_share_delta_pct_pt": -10.543874
    },
    {
      "prefecture_code": "03",
      "prefecture_name": "岩手県",
      "prefecture_name_en": "Iwate",
      "jis_code": "033022",
      "municipality_name": "葛巻町",
      "municipality_name_en": "Kuzumaki-machi",
      "baseline_votes": 721.182,
      "target_votes": 441.0,
      "votes_delta": -280.182,
      "votes_change_rate_pct": -38.850387,
      "baseline_vote_share_pct_muni": 28.561664,
      "target_vote_share_pct_muni": 17.696629,
      "vote_share_delta_pct_pt": -10.865035
    },
    {
      "prefecture_code": "03",
      "prefecture_name": "岩手県",
      "prefecture_name_en": "Iwate",
      "jis_code": "034827",
      "municipality_name": "山田町",
      "municipality_name_en": "Yamada-machi",
      "baseline_votes": 1602.394,
      "target_votes": 967.0,
      "votes_delta": -635.394,
      "votes_change_rate_pct": -39.652795,
      "baseline_vote_share_pct_muni": 22.953646,
      "target_vote_share_pct_muni": 13.341611,
      "vote_share_delta_pct_pt": -9.612035
    },
    {
      "prefecture_code": "03",
      "prefecture_name": "岩手県",
      "prefecture_name_en": "Iwate",
      "jis_code": "032131",
      "municipality_name": "二戸市",
      "municipality_name_en": "Ninohe-shi",
      "baseline_votes": 3166.533,
      "target_votes": 1867.0,
      "votes_delta": -1299.533,
      "votes_change_rate_pct": -41.039617,
      "baseline_vote_share_pct_muni": 29.735496,
      "target_vote_share_pct_muni": 17.037781,
      "vote_share_delta_pct_pt": -12.697715
    },
    {
      "prefecture_code": "03",
      "prefecture_name": "岩手県",
      "prefecture_name_en": "Iwate",
      "jis_code": "035246",
      "municipality_name": "一戸町",
      "municipality_name_en": "Ichinohe-machi",
      "baseline_votes": 1563.633,
      "target_votes": 910.0,
      "votes_delta": -653.633,
      "votes_change_rate_pct": -41.8022,
      "baseline_vote_share_pct_muni": 33.162948,
      "target_vote_share_pct_muni": 19.125683,
      "vote_share_delta_pct_pt": -14.037265
    }
  ]
}
